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Notes to myself, possibly of interest to others.
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Thursday, June 10, 2010

Rosenberg Daily - The Secular Bear

Rosenberg 6/10:  Take a look at Chart 1 and you will see that the market, like life and the seasons, moves in cycles — 16 to 18 year cycles, in fact. Sadly, this secular down-phase in the equity market began in 2000 when the major averages hit their peak in real terms, and so the best we can say is that we are probably 60% of the way into it. This by no means suggests that we cannot get periodic rallies along the way, but in a secular bear market, these rallies are to be rented, not owned.

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