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Notes to myself, possibly of interest to others.
-- Bill Northlich

Tuesday, June 30, 2009

A long non-recovery...

Most pundits who crow about green shoots and about an inventory restocking in the third quarter giving way towards some sustainable economic expansion live in the old paradigm. They don’t realize, for whatever reason, that the deflationary aftershocks that follow a post-bubble credit collapse typically last for 5 to 10 years. Businesses understand better than the typical Wall Street or Bay Street economist and strategist that everything from order books, to output, to staffing have to now be restructured to adequately reflect a permanently lower level of leverage in the economy.

-- Dave Rosenberg, 6.29 (Requires registration)

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